Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.319162 4.836938 5.400486 6.060751 6.814822 7.651121 8.651538
2025-02-09 3.605191 4.303627 5.121247 6.154374 7.432439 8.971221 10.978559
2025-02-16 3.142758 3.934309 4.913013 6.223142 7.947655 10.163239 13.262589
2025-02-23 2.812337 3.657848 4.750564 6.284192 8.409756 11.294234 15.578248
2025-03-02 2.477057 3.323072 4.456554 6.110596 8.503635 11.904356 17.220169
2025-03-09 2.240965 3.089666 4.263682 6.037697 8.705916 12.660854 19.142518
2025-03-16 2.042374 2.884903 4.084002 5.953532 8.865963 13.352284 21.033419
2025-03-23 1.960500 2.837310 4.121431 6.188107 9.525470 14.874734 24.461009
2025-03-30 1.827566 2.700190 4.009838 6.176043 9.784986 15.774378 26.950312
2025-04-06 1.701196 2.561192 3.881031 6.119620 9.958338 16.539088 29.294397
2025-04-13 1.528352 2.335857 3.597543 5.781323 9.614833 16.363273 29.860309
2025-04-20 1.448470 2.251680 3.532363 5.800748 9.890997 17.314789 32.713463
2025-04-27 1.404141 2.223703 3.559865 5.987571 10.497536 18.968050 37.276776
2025-05-04 1.347851 2.171574 3.542558 6.093506 10.967120 20.422323 41.681350
2025-05-11 1.290458 2.112885 3.508557 6.164525 11.375934 21.805712 46.168131
2025-05-18 1.236429 2.055652 3.471852 6.225591 11.769517 23.204629 50.932779
2025-05-25 1.152077 1.939239 3.320559 6.053982 11.673936 23.557410 53.281087
2025-06-01 1.089501 1.857242 3.225331 5.981883 11.774034 24.342354 56.819164
2025-06-08 1.030523 1.777820 3.128992 5.898613 11.840522 25.058340 60.308242
2025-06-15 1.017004 1.780650 3.186540 6.130713 12.614014 27.495896 68.810508
2025-06-22 0.973803 1.725224 3.128702 6.118776 12.843176 28.676880 74.105000
2025-06-29 0.928515 1.662998 3.053281 6.062950 12.965766 29.613379 78.888687
2025-07-06 0.854842 1.542270 2.855207 5.728215 12.405808 28.774464 78.268193